In this morning’s pre-market review, we noted that while the markets remain extended, they are not in a climactic condition. With price trading between Friday’s high and a clearly defined major support level, we set expectations for noise, not opportunity.
Our multi-timeframe analysis reinforced that view. While the daily and 65-minute trends remain up, the lack of alignment suggests limited upside potential. That said, any controlled pullback to intraday support could be buyable.
Early in the session, prices attempted to move higher, but the 5-minute chart was in a downtrend with moving averages out of alignment — a signal to stay patient rather than force trades.
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Around 11:00 ET, geopolitical news triggered a sharp decline. However, as we often discuss, events create movement — but internals reveal sustainability. An extreme NYSE Tick marked the low of the move, quickly ending the selling pressure.
From that point forward, the market settled into choppy, sideways price action — exactly the type of environment we anticipated.
Bottom line: Today was noise.
Not every day offers an opportunity. Recognizing when conditions are not favorable is just as important as knowing when to act.
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